Obama Elected 44th President of the United States

Barack Obama is projected to be elected the 44th President of the United States. He will be sworn in on January 20, 2009. Congratulations to Obama, President Elect on this historic day!

Final Vote Projection for 2008

Well, we are now down to the final day of the 2008 campaign. The presidential races in the states of Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania has tightened. Virginia, Pennsylvania and Colorado still show Obama with leads. McCain can not win without winning two of these states (and he must also win Florida, Ohio, Missouri, North Carolina. Florida and Ohio are projected to be barely Obama, however today's polls show the race tied. The projection formula shows North Carolina and Missouri as tossups. If I have to pick a winner I would say North Carolina goes to Obama and Missouri to McCain.

The final Vote Projections 2008 projections are as follows:

PRESIDENT (EVs): OBAMA 338, MCCAIN 174, TOSSUP 26

2008 SENATE PROJECTION: DEM 56 +7, REP 42 -7, IND 2 +0

2008 HOUSE PROJECTION: DEM 250 +14, REP 180 -19, TOSSUPS 5

2008 GOVERNOR PROJECTION: DEM 31 +1, REP 19 -1

Join me on election night as I update the map with actual results as they come in.

Vote Projections for 2 November 2008

The presidential race is tightening a little over the weekend as we are only two days from election day. Obama still leads in the key swing states of Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, Florida New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada, however the lead is down to 5 or lower in these states. One metric to consider is whether the polls have Obama over 50% in a state. If he is at this state in the election, history says he will win that state. If you look back at the 2004 race, Kerry was not over 50% in Ohio, Florida. He currently has polls in most of the swing states showing him over 50%.

So, here is the bottom line. If on election day, Obama carries Virginia and Colorado, he will be the next president of the United States even if he does not win Florida and Ohio (which is is currently ahead in the polling anyway). Right now, his chances look better in Colorado than Virginia, so but we will likely find out the results of Virginia first on Tuesday.