Wednesday, July 16, 2008

Obama Maintains Polls Lead in Swing States

Barack Obama has continued to maintain consistent but small leads in the polls for all of the traditional "swing states" from the last two presidential elections except Florida, plus Virginia and Colorado for well over 6 weeks now. He is also maintaining about a 5-point lead in the national polls. Over the last week, Obama has also added states such as Montana. Missouri is currently projected as a tossup, with two conflicting polls.

My current prediction for Democratic Veep is 1) Tim Kaine (Gov. VA); 2) Bill Richardson; 3) Hillary Clinton (Sen. NY) ranked in order of most likely to least likely. For the Republicans prediction is 1) Mitt Romney; 2) Tim Pawlenty (Gov. MN); Charlie Crist.

The House projections are now up and running, with Democrats projected to pick up 5 seats. Senate projection steady with Democrats picking up 4 seats.

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